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China U20 W vs Japan U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hijikata M.
Assist: Kubota M.
88' Event
Amano S.

AI Match Summary

Japan U20 W in this AFC Asian Cup Women U20 2024 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
China U20 W
30%
Draws
47%
Japan U20 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Japan U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Japan U20 W have won more games recently than China U20 W.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Japan U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20 W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
China U20 W Clean Sheet 11%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U20 W Japan U20 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 23
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.07 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
China U20 W vs Japan U20 W
0:2
Mar 7, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
China U20 W vs Japan U20 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hijikata M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U20 W 29 / 100
Japan U20 W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U20 W Japan U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: China U20 W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Japan U20 W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

China U20 W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

China U20 W VS Japan U20 W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

China U20 W

(Home)
16 Sept
Italy U20 W
2 : 1
China U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
10 Sept
China U20 W
0 : 0
Nigeria U20 W
07 Sept
New Caledonia U20 W
0 : 5
China U20 W
15 Apr
China U20 W
0 : 2
Japan U20 W
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Japan U20 W

(Away)
17 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Japan U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
09 Jun
England U20 W
0 : 1
Japan U20 W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U20 W 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 South Korea U20 W 3 2 0 1 20:2 6
3 Chinese Taipei U20 W 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Uzbekistan U20 W 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 Japan U20 W 3 2 0 1 12:1 6
3 China U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
4 Vietnam U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:22 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 2024 (Play Offs)