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China U20 W vs Nigeria U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women U20 ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Xiao Yafei In: Chen Ruilin
Out: Xiao Yafei
61'
Oscar P.
75'
Sub
Oscar P. In: Kareem R.
Out: Oscar P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
China U20 W
20%
Draws
51%
Nigeria U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nigeria U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigeria U20 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nigeria U20 W taking it.
  • Nigeria U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor China U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
China U20 W Clean Sheet 12%
Nigeria U20 W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U20 W Nigeria U20 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 World Cup Women U20
China U20 W vs Nigeria U20 W
0:0
Aug 13, 2018 World Cup Women U20
China U20 W vs Nigeria U20 W
1:1
Aug 20, 2006 World Cup Women U20
China U20 W vs Nigeria U20 W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U20 W 14 / 100
Nigeria U20 W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U20 W Nigeria U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U20 W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Nigeria U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Solid form: China U20 W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

China U20 W VS Nigeria U20 W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

China U20 W

(Home)
16 Sept
Italy U20 W
2 : 1
China U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
10 Sept
China U20 W
0 : 0
Nigeria U20 W
07 Sept
New Caledonia U20 W
0 : 5
China U20 W
15 Apr
China U20 W
0 : 2
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Nigeria U20 W

(Away)
20 Sept
Nigeria U20 W
0 : 1
Colombia U20 W
17 Sept
England U20 W
0 : 3
Nigeria U20 W
13 Sept
Nigeria U20 W
10 : 1
New Caledonia U20 W
10 Sept
China U20 W
0 : 0
Nigeria U20 W
07 Sept
Spain U20 W
2 : 0
Nigeria U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Argentina U20 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Mexico U20 W 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 Benin U20 W 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 England U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Canada U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
4 Tanzania U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 South Korea U20 W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Ecuador U20 W 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
4 Ghana U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U20 W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Japan U20 W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 USA U20 W 3 1 1 1 12:4 4
4 New Zealand U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Portugal U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Colombia U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Costa Rica U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Nigeria U20 W 3 1 1 1 10:3 4
3 China U20 W 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 New Caledonia U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:26 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)