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China U23 vs Pakistan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Chang Feiya

AI Match Summary

China U23 in this Asian Games 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored China U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
China U23
20%
Draws
0%
Pakistan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to China U23 lately — more wins on the board than Pakistan U23.
  • China U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Asian Games 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
China U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Pakistan U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U23 Pakistan U23
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 18 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.52 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.68 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2014 Asian Games
China U23 vs Pakistan U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chang Feiya
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Pakistan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U23 95 / 100
Pakistan U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U23 Pakistan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakistan U23 has conceded goals in 95% of their last 20 outings.

Pakistan U23 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

China U23 scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: China U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

China U23 VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

China U23

(Home)
03 Oct
China U23
3 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 7

Pakistan U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Oman U23
1 : 0
Pakistan U23
06 Sept
Pakistan U23
0 : 1
Cambodia U23
03 Sept
Iraq U23
8 : 1
Pakistan U23
12 Sept
Palestine U23
2 : 1
Pakistan U23
09 Sept
Pakistan U23
1 : 3
Bahrain U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Laos U23 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Hong Kong U23 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Afghanistan U23 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Tajikistan U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Singapore U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Oman U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Indonesia U23 3 2 0 1 11:6 6
3 Maldives U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Timor-Leste U23 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 China U23 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
3 Pakistan U23 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 United Arab Emirates U23 2 1 0 1 5:1 3
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Iran U23 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2014 (Play Offs)