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China vs Indonesia

World World

World Championship 2026 Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
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Match Events

21' Event
Abduweli Behram
Assist: Jiang Shenglong
40'
Jenner I.
42'
Xie Wenneng

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between China and Indonesia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward China.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
China
30%
Draws
39%
Indonesia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • China haven't matched Indonesia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Indonesia a 39% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
China Clean Sheet 16%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China Indonesia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2025 World Championship
Indonesia vs China
1:0
Oct 15, 2024 World Championship
China vs Indonesia
2:1
Nov 15, 2013 Asian Cup
China vs Indonesia
1:0
Oct 15, 2013 Asian Cup
Indonesia vs China
1:1
Jul 21, 2004 Asian Cup
Indonesia vs China
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China Compare

Top Goalscorer Abduweli Behram
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhang Yuning
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Indonesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Haye T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China 23 / 100
Indonesia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China Indonesia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

China has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: China scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Indonesia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

China VS Indonesia
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

China

(Home)
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Singapore
1 : 2
China
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
China
2 : 0
Curacao
26 Jan
Uzbekistan
2 : 2
China
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Indonesia

(Away)
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 10 7 2 1 19:8 23
2 Uzbekistan 10 6 3 1 14:7 21
3 United Arab Emirates 10 4 3 3 15:8 15
4 Qatar 10 4 1 5 17:24 13
5 Kyrgyzstan 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
6 North Korea 10 0 3 7 9:21 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Jordan 10 4 4 2 16:8 16
3 Iraq 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
4 Oman 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
5 Palestine 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
6 Kuwait 10 0 5 5 7:20 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 10 7 2 1 30:3 23
2 Australia 10 5 4 1 16:7 19
3 Saudi Arabia 10 3 4 3 7:8 13
4 Indonesia 10 3 3 4 9:20 12
5 China 10 3 0 7 7:20 9
6 Bahrain 10 1 3 6 5:16 6
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)