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China W vs Uzbekistan W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Yongchuan Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Zhang Xin
Assist: Yao W.
45' Event
Shao Ziqin
61'
Sub
Zhang Xin In: Wang Yanwen
Out: Zhang Xin

AI Match Summary

China W host Uzbekistan W in the Friendly International Women 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. China W have averaged 2.38 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Uzbekistan W's 1.38 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor China W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (2.25 - 1.50) back China W to edge this. China W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
China W
6%
Draws
4%
Uzbekistan W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: China W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • China W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Uzbekistan W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for China W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
China W Clean Sheet 68%
Uzbekistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China W Uzbekistan W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Uzbekistan W vs China W
0:3
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
China W vs Uzbekistan W
5:0
Oct 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
China W vs Uzbekistan W
3:0
Oct 6, 2023 Asian Games Women
China W vs Uzbekistan W
7:0
Sep 28, 2023 Asian Games Women
Uzbekistan W vs China W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Xin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shao Ziqin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Uzbekistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China W 95 / 100
Uzbekistan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China W Uzbekistan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Uzbekistan W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

China W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China W VS Uzbekistan W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%