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China W vs Vietnam W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Yanmar Stadium Nagai, Osaka
China W Logo

China W

Fri, Sep 25, 2026
1 - 0
06:00 AM
Vietnam W Logo

Vietnam W

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Xie Zongmei
40'
Zhang Chengxue
56'
Sub
Wurigumula In: Shao Ziqin
Out: Wurigumula
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
China W
20%
Draws
10%
Vietnam W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vietnam W come out ahead of China W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans China W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Vietnam W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor China W, who have won 5 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and China W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
China W Clean Sheet 20%
Vietnam W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China W Vietnam W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.03 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Asian Games Women
China W vs Vietnam W
1:0
Sep 9, 2026 Friendly International Women
China W vs Vietnam W
3:0
Feb 13, 2026 Friendly International Women
China W vs Vietnam W
6:1
Feb 10, 2026 Friendly International Women
China W vs Vietnam W
2:0
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
China W vs Vietnam W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Shuang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Vietnam W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China W 85 / 100
Vietnam W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China W Vietnam W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

China W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vietnam W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China W VS Vietnam W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

China W

(Home)
02 Oct
China W
0 : 1
South Korea W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
China W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam W

(Away)
25 Sept
China W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8
Japan W
14 Sept
Chinese Taipei W
2 : 1
Vietnam W
09 Sept
China W
3 : 0
Vietnam W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
North Korea W 5
Chinese Taipei W 1
China W 1
Vietnam W 0
Japan W 4
Philippines W 0
South Korea W 6
Uzbekistan W 3
Semi-finals
North Korea W 2
China W 0
Japan W 2
South Korea W 0
Final
North Korea W 2
Japan W 3
China W 0
South Korea W 1