Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chinese Taipei vs Thailand

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Taipei Municipal Stadium, Taipei
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Poeiphimai T.
Assist: Sarachat S.
7'
Kuo Bo-Wei
9'
Jarunongkran W.

AI Match Summary

Thailand in this Asian Cup tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chinese Taipei
6%
Draws
90%
Thailand
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Thailand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Thailand have won more games recently than Chinese Taipei.
  • Model gives Thailand a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Thailand arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Thailand, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Chinese Taipei Clean Sheet 10%
Thailand Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chinese Taipei Thailand
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 22
Draws 2 6
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 0.71 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.57 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.57 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Asian Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Thailand
1:6
Oct 9, 2025 Asian Cup
Thailand vs Chinese Taipei
2:0
Jun 16, 2023 Friendly International
Chinese Taipei vs Thailand
2:2
Dec 14, 2022 Friendly International
Thailand vs Chinese Taipei
0:1
Nov 12, 2015 World Championship
Thailand vs Chinese Taipei
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chinese Taipei Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuo Bo-Wei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Thailand Compare

Top Goalscorer Poeiphimai T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ratree S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinese Taipei 10 / 100
Thailand 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chinese Taipei Thailand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Chinese Taipei scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Thailand let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chinese Taipei VS Thailand
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
3.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 38%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chinese Taipei

(Home)
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1
Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Chinese Taipei
1 : 6
Thailand
09 Oct
Thailand
2 : 0
Chinese Taipei
05 Sept
Indonesia
6 : 0
Chinese Taipei
Page 1 of 6

Thailand

(Away)
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Thailand
2 : 2
Kuwait
31 Mar
Thailand
2 : 1
Turkmenistan
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
13 Nov
Thailand
3 : 2
Singapore
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tajikistan642014:314
2Philippines642016:614
3Maldives61053:133
4Timor-Leste61054:153
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yemen642020:114
2Lebanon641114:213
3Bhutan61144:164
4Brunei61053:223
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Singapore64208:414
2Hong Kong62228:88
3Bangladesh61236:85
4India61234:65
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thailand650116:515
2Turkmenistan640211:712
3Sri Lanka63038:99
4Chinese Taipei60065:190
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Syria660021:218
2Myanmar64028:1112
3Afghanistan60244:112
4Pakistan60242:112
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam660017:218
2Malaysia630310:109
3Laos62044:166
4Nepal61055:83
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)