Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chinese Taipei vs Timor-Leste

World World

World Championship 2026 Kaohsiung National Stadium, Kaohsiung
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Kieran M.
4' Event
Yao-hsing Yu
Assist: Kouame A.
28'
Wang Chien-Ming

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Chinese Taipei advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chinese Taipei
6%
Draws
90%
Timor-Leste
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Timor-Leste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Timor-Leste have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Chinese Taipei are scoring more at 0.71.
  • Timor-Leste are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Chinese Taipei, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Chinese Taipei here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chinese Taipei Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chinese Taipei Timor-Leste
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 6 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.71 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.57 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.57 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 World Championship
Timor-Leste vs Chinese Taipei
0:3
Oct 12, 2023 World Championship
Chinese Taipei vs Timor-Leste
4:0
Dec 4, 2017 Friendly International
Chinese Taipei vs Timor-Leste
3:1
Dec 1, 2017 Friendly International
Chinese Taipei vs Timor-Leste
0:0
Oct 11, 2016 Asian Cup
Chinese Taipei vs Timor-Leste
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chinese Taipei Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao-hsing Yu
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Timor-Leste Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinese Taipei 10 / 100
Timor-Leste 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chinese Taipei Timor-Leste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chinese Taipei's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Timor-Leste has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Timor-Leste has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chinese Taipei VS Timor-Leste
0.71 Goals Scored 0.63
3.57 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chinese Taipei

(Home)
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1
Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Chinese Taipei
1 : 6
Thailand
09 Oct
Thailand
2 : 0
Chinese Taipei
05 Sept
Indonesia
6 : 0
Chinese Taipei
Page 1 of 6

Timor-Leste

(Away)
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
02 Jun
Brunei
0 : 3
Timor-Leste
31 Mar
Maldives
2 : 1
Timor-Leste
18 Nov
Timor-Leste
0 : 5
Tajikistan
14 Oct
Philippines
3 : 1
Timor-Leste
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Afghanistan2
Mongolia0
Maldives2
Bangladesh3
Singapore3
Guam1
Yemen4
Sri Lanka1
Myanmar5
Macau1
Cambodia0
Pakistan1
Chinese Taipei7
Timor-Leste0
Indonesia12
Brunei0
Hong Kong4
Bhutan2
Nepal2
Laos1