Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chinese Taipei W vs Northern Mariana Islands W Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women GFA National Training Center, Dededo
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Hsu Yi-Yun
16' Event
Matsunaga S.
58' Event
Su Yu-Hsuan

AI Match Summary

The EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women game between Chinese Taipei W and Northern Mariana Islands W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chinese Taipei W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chinese Taipei W
15%
Draws
34%
Northern Mariana Islands W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chinese Taipei W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chinese Taipei W come out ahead of Northern Mariana Islands W on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Chinese Taipei W taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Chinese Taipei W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Chinese Taipei W Clean Sheet 20%
Northern Mariana Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chinese Taipei W Northern Mariana Islands W
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 17 3
Draws 0 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.71 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 6.29
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Northern Mariana Islands W vs Chinese Taipei W
0:13
Jun 5, 2026 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Chinese Taipei W vs Northern Mariana Islands W
5:0
Aug 28, 2009 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Chinese Taipei W vs Northern Mariana Islands W
17:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chinese Taipei W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsunaga S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hsu Yi-Yun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Northern Mariana Islands W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinese Taipei W 85 / 100
Northern Mariana Islands W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chinese Taipei W Northern Mariana Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chinese Taipei W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 11.67 goals per match.

Chinese Taipei W scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Northern Mariana Islands W conceded in 76% of 21 recent games.

Northern Mariana Islands W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chinese Taipei W VS Northern Mariana Islands W
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 9
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Chinese Taipei W

(Home)
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Chinese Taipei W
2 : 1
Vietnam W
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3
Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 7

Northern Mariana Islands W

(Away)
07 Jun
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 13
Chinese Taipei W
05 Jun
Chinese Taipei W
5 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands W
07 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands W
2 : 2
Guam W
06 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 3
Guam W
06 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands W
4 : 0
Macau W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea W 2 2 0 0 18:0 6
2 Guam W 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
3 Macau W 2 0 0 2 0:16 0
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women (Qualification - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 2 2 0 0 18:0 6
2 Northern Mariana Islands W 2 0 0 2 0:18 0
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women (Qualification - Play Offs)