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Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Beira

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Chingale de Tete
30%
Draws
62%
Ferroviario Beira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Chingale de Tete haven't matched Ferroviario Beira's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Beira taking it.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Beira
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 3 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.52 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Beira
1:1
May 14, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Chingale de Tete
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Chingale de Tete
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Beira
1:1
Oct 4, 2017 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Chingale de Tete
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 20 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Beira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Beira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Chingale de Tete's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Ferroviario Beira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Chingale de Tete stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS Ferroviario Beira
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chingale de Tete

(Home)
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1
Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
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Ferroviario Beira

(Away)
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 UD Songo 18 6 10 2 20:13 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
6 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 18 1 7 10 8:23 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)