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Chingale de Tete vs Maxaquene - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chingale de Tete in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chingale de Tete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chingale de Tete
30%
Draws
23%
Maxaquene
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chingale de Tete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maxaquene lately — more wins on the board than Chingale de Tete.
  • Win probability leans Chingale de Tete's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete Maxaquene
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.58 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Maxaquene
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Chingale de Tete
0:0
Jun 22, 2017 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Chingale de Tete
2:2
Mar 12, 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Maxaquene
0:1
Aug 7, 2016 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Maxaquene
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 76 / 100
Maxaquene 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete Maxaquene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chingale de Tete Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maxaquene's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Maxaquene has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chingale de Tete found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (26 games).

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS Maxaquene
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chingale de Tete

(Home)
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0
Maxaquene
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1
Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
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Maxaquene

(Away)
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0
Maxaquene
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 19 11 4 4 26:12 37
3 Ferroviario Beira 19 9 7 3 23:13 34
4 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
5 UD Songo 19 6 10 3 21:15 28
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
7 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
8 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Chingale de Tete 19 2 6 11 5:17 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)