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Chingale de Tete vs Sofala

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sofala in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sofala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Chingale de Tete
20%
Draws
60%
Sofala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sofala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sofala have won more games recently than Chingale de Tete.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Chingale de Tete taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
Sofala Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete Sofala
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 3 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.61 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.11 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Sofala
0:1
May 9, 2026 Mocambola
Sofala vs Chingale de Tete
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 42 / 100
Sofala 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete Sofala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Sofala registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chingale de Tete found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (28 games).

Sofala let in goals in 47% of their last 15 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS Sofala
0.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
13% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chingale de Tete

(Home)
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
13 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
10 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
04 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 6

Sofala

(Away)
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
17 Aug
Sofala
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
09 Aug
ENH Vilankulo
3 : 1
Sofala
01 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Sofala
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 15 9 5 1 20:7 32
2 Costa do Sol 15 8 4 3 21:9 28
3 Ferroviario Beira 15 7 7 1 19:8 28
4 Ferroviario Nampula 15 7 4 4 17:17 25
5 UD Songo 15 5 9 1 15:10 24
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 13 6 3 4 11:11 21
7 Sofala 15 4 5 6 8:15 17
8 AD Pemba 15 5 2 8 9:17 17
9 Ferroviario Maputo 15 4 4 7 10:11 16
10 Baia de Pemba 15 3 7 5 7:9 16
11 Ferroviario Nacala 15 4 4 7 7:12 16
12 ENH Vilankulo 13 2 8 3 15:13 14
13 Maxaquene 15 1 6 8 7:17 9
14 Chingale de Tete 15 1 6 8 3:13 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)