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Chions vs Calvi Noale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Coin S.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Danti D.
81' Event
Valenta E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Chions and Calvi Noale finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chions
30%
Draws
47%
Calvi Noale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Calvi Noale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chions Clean Sheet 20%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chions Calvi Noale
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Calvi Noale
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Chions
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Danti D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valenta E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Calvi Noale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chions 32 / 100
Calvi Noale 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chions Calvi Noale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chions's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Calvi Noale let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Chions remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Calvi Noale
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chions

(Home)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
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Calvi Noale

(Away)
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
26 Apr
Calvi Noale
1 : 0
Campodarsego
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)