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Chippenham Town vs Hornchurch

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Balanta A.
54' Event
Hearn H.
58' Event
Balanta A.

AI Match Summary

The National League South 2025/2026 game between Chippenham Town and Hornchurch finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hornchurch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chippenham Town
33%
Draws
40%
Hornchurch
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hornchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Hornchurch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hornchurch's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Hornchurch have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chippenham Town Clean Sheet 11%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chippenham Town Hornchurch
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.29 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Chippenham Town vs Hornchurch
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 National League South
Chippenham Town vs Hornchurch
0:4
Dec 21, 2024 National League South
Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chippenham Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Touray E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Balanta A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hearn H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chippenham Town 27 / 100
Hornchurch 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chippenham Town Hornchurch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chippenham Town scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Hornchurch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Chippenham Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chippenham Town VS Hornchurch
1.29 Goals Scored 2.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036