Sport Picks
Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FA Cup 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Porthmadog advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chirk AAA FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Porthmadog come out ahead of Chirk AAA FC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Porthmadog's way, sitting at 40%.
- Porthmadog arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Porthmadog, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 17%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chirk AAA FC | Porthmadog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 22 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2024 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog
1:2
Aug 8, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Chirk AAA FC
4:1
Feb 18, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Chirk AAA FC
0:5
Aug 29, 2022 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chirk AAA FC 28 / 100
Porthmadog 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chirk AAA FC Porthmadog
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Porthmadog conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Chirk AAA FC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Chirk AAA FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Porthmadog
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chirk AAA FC
(Home) 26 Apr
Buckley
3 : 2 Chirk AAA FC
01 Apr
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 1 Porthmadog
29 Mar
Llanidloes Town
1 : 2 Chirk AAA FC
23 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
2 : 2 Caersws FC
16 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
3 : 2 Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 6
01 Apr
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 1 Porthmadog
23 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
2 : 2 Caersws FC
16 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
3 : 2 Llandudno FC
02 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 4 Mold Alexandra
17 Feb
Chirk AAA FC
0 : 3 Prestatyn
Page 1 of 3
Porthmadog
(Away) 26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1 Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1 Porthmadog
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3 Porthmadog
15 Aug
Buckley
1 : 1 Porthmadog
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch 2
Chirk AAA FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Glantraeth FC 0
Newport City 0
Abergavenny Town 2
Cardiff Airport 3
Cefn Fforest 1
Rhyl 1
Menai Bridge Tigers 2
Tregaron Turfs 2
Llanuwchllyn 10
Corwen 0
Bow Street 4
TBD -
Buckley -
Penparcau FC 0
Cefn Albion 1
Holyhead 0
Bangor 1876 4
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Flint Town -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
St. Asaph 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Cardiff Corries 2
Caerau Ely 3
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llanidloes Town 5
Builth 4
Radnor Valley 0
Gresford 4
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontardawe -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
NFA 0
Flint Mountain 3
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Canton 3
Sully Sports 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penydarren 2
South Gower AFC 3
Rockspur 4
Afan United 2
Chepstow Town 7
Pill 0
Abercarn United 4
St Albans 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 5
Cwmaman Institute 1
Goytre Utd 1
Trefelin 3
Ammanford Town 1
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Aber Valley 2
Cwmbran Town 3
Mochdre Sports 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 13
Montgomery 1
Pwllheli 1
Felinheli 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Llanrwst United 2
Conwy Borough 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
Treharris Athletic 1
Porthcawl Town 2
Brickfield Rangers 3
Caersws FC 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Penycae FC 1
Rhos Aelwyd 4
Aberfan 2
Pontyclun FC 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cwmbran Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Mumbles Rangers 1
Evans Williams 2
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
Caerphilly 1
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Trethomas Bluebirds 4
Ely Rangers 1
Llantwit Fardre 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC 1
Porthmadog 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Cardiff Airport 3
Menai Bridge Tigers 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Bow Street 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor 1876 7
Denbigh 0
Flint Town 3
Connahs Q. 4
Caernarfon 1
St. Asaph 0
Prestatyn 1
Caerau Ely 4
Afan Lido 0
Llanidloes Town 1
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 2
Pontardawe 1
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Mountain 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Canton 2
Cambrian United 1
South Gower AFC 1
Rockspur 0
Chepstow Town 4
Abercarn United 0
Haverfordwest 1
Baglan Dragons 0
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Cwmbran Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Felinheli 0
Newtown 6
Colwyn Bay 6
Llanrwst United 2
Barry Town 6
Porthcawl Town 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Guilsfield 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Aberfan 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanelli 4
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Evans Williams 0
Pontypridd United -
Abertillery Bluebirds -
Ruthin Town 0
TNS 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 5
Cardiff Airport 1
Llanuwchllyn 1
Buckley 2
Bangor 1876 1
Flint Town 2
Connahs Q. 8
Prestatyn 0
Caerau Ely 4
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 0
Bala 1
Flint Mountain 2
Canton 1
South Gower AFC 3
Chepstow Town 2
Haverfordwest 2
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Newtown 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Briton Ferry 2
Llanelli 4
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
TNS 7
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 0
Buckley 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 3
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 4
Flint Mountain 2
South Gower AFC 1
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 3
Quarter-finals
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Bala 3
Flint Mountain 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Briton Ferry 1
TNS 5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 6
Final
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 1
