Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup 2023/2024

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chirk AAA FC host Porthmadog in the FA Cup 2023/2024. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Porthmadog have shipped 2.75 goals a game lately, while Chirk AAA FC have conceded 2.5 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Chirk AAA FC have won 2 to Porthmadog's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2024, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.29 xG vs 1.81) point toward Porthmadog. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Chirk AAA FC

39%

Draws

30%

Porthmadog

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Porthmadog has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chirk AAA FC.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
Cup tournament structure in FA Cup 2023/2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 11%

Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chirk AAA FC	Porthmadog
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	4	11
Draws	4	3
Losses	22	19
Goals Scored	1.83	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.5	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.83	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2024 Cymru North

Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup

Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Aug 8, 2023 Cymru North

Porthmadog vs Chirk AAA FC

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

Feb 18, 2023 Cymru North

Porthmadog vs Chirk AAA FC

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

0:5

Aug 29, 2022 Cymru North

Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirk AAA FC 30 / 100

Porthmadog 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chirk AAA FC Porthmadog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chirk AAA FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Porthmadog let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Chirk AAA FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Porthmadog lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chirk AAA FC VS Porthmadog

1.83 Goals Scored 1.13

2.5 Goals Conceded 2.75

100% Over 1.5 88%

83% Over 2.5 75%

67% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Penrhyncoch2

Chirk AAA FC4

Porthmadog3

Glantraeth FC0

Newport City0

Abergavenny Town2

Cardiff Airport3

Cefn Fforest1

Rhyl1

Menai Bridge Tigers2

Tregaron Turfs2

Llanuwchllyn10

Corwen0

Bow Street4

TBD-

Buckley-

Penparcau FC0

Cefn Albion1

Holyhead0

Bangor 18764

Cerrigydrudion2

Denbigh4

TBD-

Flint Town-

Connahs Q.-

TBD-

Caernarfon-

St. Asaph1

Llandudno Junction0

TBD-

Prestatyn-

Cardiff Corries2

Caerau Ely3

TBD-

Afan Lido-

Llanidloes Town5

Builth4

Radnor Valley0

Gresford4

Aberystwyth-

TBD-

Pontardawe-

Bala-

TBD-

Llandudno FC-

NFA0

Flint Mountain3

TBD-

Holywell Town FC-

Canton3

Sully Sports1

TBD-

Cambrian United-

Penydarren2

South Gower AFC3

Rockspur4

Afan United2

Chepstow Town7

Pill0

Abercarn United4

St Albans1

Haverfordwest-

TBD-

Baglan Dragons5

Cwmaman Institute1

Goytre Utd1

Trefelin3

Ammanford Town1

Taffs Well0

Cardiff Metropolitan University-

TBD-

Aber Valley2

Cwmbran Town3

Mochdre Sports0

Nantlle Vale FC2

Mold Alexandra13

Montgomery1

Pwllheli1

Felinheli2

TBD-

Newtown-

Colwyn Bay-

TBD-

Llanrwst United2

Conwy Borough1

Barry Town-

TBD-

Treharris Athletic1

Porthcawl Town2

Brickfield Rangers3

Caersws FC1

TBD-

Guilsfield-

Airbus UK Broughton FC-

TBD-

Penycae FC1

Rhos Aelwyd4

Aberfan2

Pontyclun FC1

TBD-

Briton Ferry-

Llanelli-

TBD-

Llantwit Major-

Cwmbran Celtic-

TBD-

Penybont-

Carmarthen Town-

TBD-

Mumbles Rangers1

Evans Williams2

Pontypridd United-

TBD-

Abertillery Bluebirds2

Caerphilly1

Ruthin Town-

TBD-

TNS-

Trethomas Bluebirds4

Ely Rangers1

Llantwit Fardre3

Penrhiwceiber Rangers4

1/32-finals

Chirk AAA FC1

Porthmadog2

Abergavenny Town1

Cardiff Airport3

Menai Bridge Tigers0

Llanuwchllyn2

Bow Street2

Buckley3

Cefn Albion1

Bangor 18767

Denbigh0

Flint Town3

Connahs Q.4

Caernarfon1

St. Asaph0

Prestatyn1

Caerau Ely4

Afan Lido0

Llanidloes Town1

Gresford3

Aberystwyth2

Pontardawe1

Bala3

Llandudno FC0

Flint Mountain3

Holywell Town FC1

Canton2

Cambrian United1

South Gower AFC1

Rockspur0

Chepstow Town4

Abercarn United0

Haverfordwest1

Baglan Dragons0

Trefelin2

Ammanford Town3

Cardiff Metropolitan University4

Cwmbran Town0

Nantlle Vale FC2

Mold Alexandra3

Felinheli0

Newtown6

Colwyn Bay6

Llanrwst United2

Barry Town6

Porthcawl Town0

Brickfield Rangers2

Guilsfield7

Airbus UK Broughton FC4

Rhos Aelwyd0

Aberfan0

Briton Ferry3

Llanelli4

Llantwit Major0

Cwmbran Celtic0

Penybont3

Carmarthen Town2

Evans Williams0

Pontypridd United-

Abertillery Bluebirds-

Ruthin Town0

TNS5

Trethomas Bluebirds6

Penrhiwceiber Rangers1

1/16-finals

Porthmadog5

Cardiff Airport1

Llanuwchllyn1

Buckley2

Bangor 18761

Flint Town2

Connahs Q.8

Prestatyn0

Caerau Ely4

Gresford3

Aberystwyth0

Bala1

Flint Mountain2

Canton1

South Gower AFC3

Chepstow Town2

Haverfordwest2

Ammanford Town0

Cardiff Metropolitan University2

Mold Alexandra1

Newtown1

Colwyn Bay2

Barry Town1

Guilsfield0

Airbus UK Broughton FC1

Briton Ferry2

Llanelli4

Penybont3

Carmarthen Town4

Abertillery Bluebirds2

TNS7

Trethomas Bluebirds0

1/8-finals

Porthmadog0

Buckley2

Flint Town0

Connahs Q.3

Caerau Ely1

Bala4

Flint Mountain2

South Gower AFC1

Haverfordwest1

Cardiff Metropolitan University2

Colwyn Bay2

Barry Town0

Briton Ferry1

Llanelli0

Carmarthen Town0

TNS3

Quarter-finals

Buckley1

Connahs Q.4

Bala3

Flint Mountain0

Cardiff Metropolitan University3

Colwyn Bay2

Briton Ferry1

TNS5

Semi-finals

Connahs Q.1

Bala0

Cardiff Metropolitan University2

TNS6

Final

Connahs Q.2

TNS1