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Chirundu United vs Kabwe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Absa Cup
Sun, Apr 5, 2026
3 - 2
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chirundu United
30%
Draws
23%
Kabwe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chirundu United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chirundu United haven't matched Kabwe's recent run of results.
  • Chirundu United are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Kabwe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chirundu United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Chirundu United Clean Sheet 20%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirundu United Kabwe
Matches Played 5 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 8
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 0.8 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Absa Cup
Chirundu United vs Kabwe
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirundu United 42 / 100
Kabwe 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirundu United Kabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Chirundu United scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Kabwe let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Chirundu United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chirundu United VS Kabwe
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chirundu United

(Home)
04 Oct
Green Buffaloes FC
2 : 0
Chirundu United
25 Apr
Chirundu United
0 : 2
Red Arrows
18 Apr
Chirundu United
1 : 0
Zanaco
05 Apr
Chirundu United
3 : 2
Kabwe
31 Mar
Muza Fc
3 : 0
Chirundu United

Kabwe

(Away)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Forest Myooye 0
Mufulira Wanderers 2
Mushitala 0
Muza Fc 1
Nampundwe 0
Power Dynamos 2
Roan United 0
Nchanga Rangers 2
Chirundu United 3
Kabwe 2
Kafue Celtic 1
Zanaco 2
Play It Forward 2
Makeni All Stars 1
Zambezi Portland 0
Red Arrows 3
Quarter-finals
Mufulira Wanderers 1
Muza Fc 0
Power Dynamos 2
Nchanga Rangers 0
Chirundu United 1
Zanaco 0
Play It Forward 1
Red Arrows 4
Semi-finals
Mufulira Wanderers 0
Power Dynamos 1
Chirundu United 0
Red Arrows 2
Final
Power Dynamos 0
Red Arrows 2