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Chirundu United vs Kabwe

Zambia Zambia

Absa Cup
Sun, Apr 5, 2026
3 - 2
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Chirundu United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chirundu United
44%
Draws
20%
Kabwe
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Chirundu United haven't matched Kabwe's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Kabwe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chirundu United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Chirundu United Clean Sheet 18%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirundu United Kabwe
Matches Played 4 35
Wins 2 15
Draws 0 7
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Absa Cup
Chirundu United vs Kabwe
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirundu United 36 / 100
Kabwe 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirundu United Kabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Chirundu United scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Kabwe let in goals in 51% of their last 35 matches.

Chirundu United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chirundu United VS Kabwe
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chirundu United

(Home)
25 Apr
Chirundu United
0 : 2
Red Arrows
18 Apr
Chirundu United
1 : 0
Zanaco
05 Apr
Chirundu United
3 : 2
Kabwe
31 Mar
Muza Fc
3 : 0
Chirundu United

Kabwe

(Away)
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Kabwe
1 : 0
NAPSA Stars
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Forest Myooye0
Mufulira Wanderers2
Mushitala0
Muza Fc1
Nampundwe0
Power Dynamos2
Roan United0
Nchanga Rangers2
Chirundu United3
Kabwe2
Kafue Celtic1
Zanaco2
Play It Forward2
Makeni All Stars1
Zambezi Portland0
Red Arrows3
Quarter-finals
Mufulira Wanderers1
Muza Fc0
Power Dynamos2
Nchanga Rangers0
Chirundu United1
Zanaco0
Play It Forward1
Red Arrows4
Semi-finals
Mufulira Wanderers0
Power Dynamos1
Chirundu United0
Red Arrows2
Final
Power Dynamos0
Red Arrows2