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Chirundu United vs Kabwe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chirundu United host Kabwe in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chirundu United have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded recently, against Kabwe's 0.96 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Chirundu United have won 1 to Kabwe's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 0.96 vs 1.06, favoring Chirundu United. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chirundu United
30%
Draws
23%
Kabwe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chirundu United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kabwe come out ahead of Chirundu United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chirundu United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Chirundu United Clean Sheet 20%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirundu United Kabwe
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 0.8 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Absa Cup
Chirundu United vs Kabwe
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirundu United 42 / 100
Kabwe 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirundu United Kabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Kabwe let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Chirundu United found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).

Chirundu United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chirundu United VS Kabwe
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chirundu United

(Home)
04 Oct
Green Buffaloes FC
2 : 0
Chirundu United
25 Apr
Chirundu United
0 : 2
Red Arrows
18 Apr
Chirundu United
1 : 0
Zanaco
05 Apr
Chirundu United
3 : 2
Kabwe
31 Mar
Muza Fc
3 : 0
Chirundu United

Kabwe

(Away)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)