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Chisola vs Alba

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Scotto S.
72' Event
Beye DIeye M.

AI Match Summary

Alba in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chisola
20%
Draws
40%
Alba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chisola lately — more wins on the board than Alba.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chisola Clean Sheet 68%
Alba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chisola Alba
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.35 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Alba
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Chisola
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chisola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Alba Compare

Top Goalscorer Scotto S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beye DIeye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chisola 41 / 100
Alba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chisola Alba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alba has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Chisola scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chisola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chisola VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chisola

(Home)
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
Page 1 of 7

Alba

(Away)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)