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Chisola vs Celle Varazze

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Mazzotta A.
90' Event
Cavallotti N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Chisola and Celle Varazze finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chisola
15%
Draws
58%
Celle Varazze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celle Varazze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Chisola carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Celle Varazze taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chisola Clean Sheet 19%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chisola Celle Varazze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Celle Varazze
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Chisola
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzotta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cavallotti N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Celle Varazze Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chisola 16 / 100
Celle Varazze 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chisola Celle Varazze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chisola scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Celle Varazze's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chisola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chisola VS Celle Varazze
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chisola

(Home)
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Chisola
0 : 0
Ligorna
Page 1 of 6

Celle Varazze

(Away)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Apr
Celle Varazze
2 : 0
Varese FC
02 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 3
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)