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Chisola vs Fossano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Benedetto F.
42' Event
Di Lernia M.
50' Event
Rizq K.

AI Match Summary

Chisola in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Chisola
20%
Draws
0%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Chisola have won more games recently than Fossano.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Chisola taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chisola here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chisola Clean Sheet 20%
Fossano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chisola Fossano
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.41 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Fossano
5:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Chisola
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Chisola
0:1
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Fossano
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizq K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Benedetto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Fossano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chisola 85 / 100
Fossano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chisola Fossano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Fossano has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chisola found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chisola VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chisola

(Home)
04 Oct
Celle Varazze
0 : 4
Chisola
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
Page 1 of 7

Fossano

(Away)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)