Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chisola vs Valenzana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Rastrelli N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Chisola and Valenzana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Chisola
20%
Draws
10%
Valenzana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chisola come out ahead of Valenzana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chisola a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chisola Clean Sheet 68%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chisola Valenzana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs Chisola
2:3
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Valenzana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Rastrelli N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Valenzana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chisola 59 / 100
Valenzana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chisola Valenzana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chisola scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Valenzana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chisola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chisola VS Valenzana
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chisola

(Home)
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
Page 1 of 6

Valenzana

(Away)
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1
GSD Lascaris
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1
Valenzana
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)