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Chitipa United vs Civo Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Manda Z.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Chitipa United and Civo Utd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chitipa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Chitipa United
20%
Draws
42%
Civo Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Civo Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Civo Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chitipa United are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Chitipa United Clean Sheet 68%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chitipa United Civo Utd
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super League
Chitipa United vs Civo Utd
1:0
Nov 5, 2025 Super League
Civo Utd vs Chitipa United
0:1
May 11, 2025 Super League
Chitipa United vs Civo Utd
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Civo Utd vs Chitipa United
4:0
May 24, 2024 Super League
Chitipa United vs Civo Utd
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chitipa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Manda Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Civo Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chitipa United 51 / 100
Civo Utd 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chitipa United Civo Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Civo Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chitipa United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Chitipa United found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Chitipa United VS Civo Utd
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chitipa United

(Home)
06 Sept
Chitipa United
0 : 0
Creck Sporting
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1
Chitipa United
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Big Bullets
2 : 0
Chitipa United
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 6

Civo Utd

(Away)
05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1
Civo Utd
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
16 Aug
Blue Eagles
1 : 2
Civo Utd
09 Aug
Masters FC
1 : 0
Civo Utd
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)