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Chitipa United vs Creck Sporting - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Penalty Missed
90'

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Chitipa United and Creck Sporting finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chitipa United
35%
Draws
25%
Creck Sporting
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chitipa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chitipa United come out ahead of Creck Sporting on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Chitipa United Clean Sheet 68%
Creck Sporting Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chitipa United Creck Sporting
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Super League
Chitipa United vs Creck Sporting
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Chitipa United
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 Super League
Chitipa United vs Creck Sporting
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Chitipa United
1:1
Jun 30, 2024 Super League
Chitipa United vs Creck Sporting
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chitipa United 41 / 100
Creck Sporting 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chitipa United Creck Sporting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chitipa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Creck Sporting's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Chitipa United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Chitipa United scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chitipa United VS Creck Sporting
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chitipa United

(Home)
06 Sept
Chitipa United
0 : 0
Creck Sporting
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1
Chitipa United
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Big Bullets
2 : 0
Chitipa United
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 6

Creck Sporting

(Away)
06 Sept
Chitipa United
0 : 0
Creck Sporting
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
16 Aug
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Creck Sporting
08 Aug
Creck Sporting
0 : 1
Silver Strikers
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)