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Chlebnice vs FK Pohronie

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chlebnice play FK Pohronie in the Slovak Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chlebnice averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.56 conceded. FK Pohronie averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Chlebnice won 0, FK Pohronie won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 19, 2018 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Chlebnice and 1.36 for FK Pohronie. This points to a FK Pohronie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chlebnice
20%
Draws
47%
FK Pohronie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Pohronie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Chlebnice picked up more points recently compared to FK Pohronie.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Chlebnice Clean Sheet 18%
FK Pohronie Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chlebnice FK Pohronie
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 0 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2018 Slovak Cup
Chlebnice vs FK Pohronie
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chlebnice Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FK Pohronie Compare

Top Goalscorer Nosko J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chlebnice 33 / 100
FK Pohronie 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chlebnice FK Pohronie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Pohronie or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chlebnice attacking → ← attacking FK Pohronie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chlebnice scored in 63% of their last 16 games.

FK Pohronie let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Chlebnice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FK Pohronie lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38