Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chocen vs Hermanuv Mestec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Pardubicky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hermanuv Mestec in this Pardubicky KP 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hermanuv Mestec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chocen
30%
Draws
43%
Hermanuv Mestec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hermanuv Mestec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Hermanuv Mestec have won more games recently than Chocen.
  • Model gives Hermanuv Mestec a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chocen Clean Sheet 10%
Hermanuv Mestec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chocen Hermanuv Mestec
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Pardubicky KP
Hermanuv Mestec vs Chocen
5:1
May 9, 2026 Pardubicky KP
Chocen vs Hermanuv Mestec
0:3
Oct 12, 2025 Pardubicky KP
Hermanuv Mestec vs Chocen
6:1
Jun 6, 2025 Pardubicky KP
Hermanuv Mestec vs Chocen
1:4
Nov 9, 2024 Pardubicky KP
Chocen vs Hermanuv Mestec
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chocen 10 / 100
Hermanuv Mestec 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chocen Hermanuv Mestec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hermanuv Mestec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chocen found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Hermanuv Mestec conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Chocen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chocen VS Hermanuv Mestec
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chocen

(Home)
26 Sept
Chocen
3 : 2
Rozhovice
20 Sept
Dolni Ujezd
3 : 0
Chocen
12 Sept
Chocen
1 : 1
Ceska Trebova
06 Sept
SK Pardubicky
1 : 1
Chocen
30 Aug
Chocen
3 : 2
Svitavy B
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Hermanuv Mestec

(Away)
20 Sept
Moravska Trebova
1 : 3
Hermanuv Mestec
13 Sept
Hermanuv Mestec
6 : 0
Usti nad Orlici B
05 Sept
Dolni Ujezd
0 : 4
Hermanuv Mestec
30 Aug
Hermanuv Mestec
2 : 2
SK Pardubicky
23 Aug
Hermanuv Mestec
5 : 1
Chocen
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