Sport Picks

France

National 2023/2024 Stade Pierre Blouen

GOAL FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cholet play GOAL FC in the National 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cholet averaged 1 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. GOAL FC averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Cholet won 2, GOAL FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2024 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Cholet and 1.05 for GOAL FC. This points to a GOAL FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Cholet

21%

Draws

41%

GOAL FC

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: GOAL FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Cholet picked up more points recently compared to GOAL FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Cholet Clean Sheet 22%

GOAL FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cholet	GOAL FC
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	7	12
Draws	5	8
Losses	18	13
Goals Scored	1	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2024 Ligue 3

GOAL FC vs Cholet

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

3:4

Nov 3, 2023 Ligue 3

Cholet vs GOAL FC

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cholet Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdeldjelil O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

GOAL FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cholet 39 / 100

GOAL FC 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cholet GOAL FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: GOAL FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cholet attacking → ← attacking GOAL FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cholet scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

GOAL FC let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cholet went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

GOAL FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 44

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Red Star	34	19	8	7	55:34	65
2	Martigues	34	17	8	9	44:29	59
3	Niort	34	17	7	10	58:42	58
4	Dijon	34	15	9	10	50:41	54
5	Le Mans	34	14	10	10	49:44	52
6	Nancy	34	14	9	11	51:46	50
7	Rouen	34	15	9	10	41:37	49
8	Sochaux	34	12	12	10	51:44	48
9	Versailles	34	12	11	11	41:33	47
10	Orleans	34	11	11	12	36:37	44
11	Nimes	34	11	11	12	36:43	44
12	Chateauroux	34	10	12	12	41:44	42
13	Villefranche	34	10	11	13	36:43	41
14	GOAL FC	34	10	8	16	43:47	38
15	Avranches	34	11	5	18	37:59	38
16	Marignane GCB	34	9	10	15	37:50	37
17	Epinal	34	9	6	19	39:51	33
18	Cholet	34	9	5	20	34:55	32