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Cholet vs GOAL FC Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2023/2024 Stade Pierre Blouen, Cholet
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Abdeldjelil O.
Assist: Ouattara M.
70'
Sub
Dufau L. In: Rambaud T.
Out: Dufau L.
70'
Sub
Raspentino F. In: Abbas C.
Out: Raspentino F.

AI Match Summary

The National 2023/2024 game between Cholet and GOAL FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cholet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cholet
35%
Draws
42%
GOAL FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GOAL FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GOAL FC come out ahead of Cholet on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cholet Clean Sheet 20%
GOAL FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cholet GOAL FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2024 Ligue 3
GOAL FC vs Cholet
3:4
Nov 3, 2023 Ligue 3
Cholet vs GOAL FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cholet Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdeldjelil O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

GOAL FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cholet 32 / 100
GOAL FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cholet GOAL FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cholet found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

GOAL FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Cholet stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS GOAL FC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cholet

(Home)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
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GOAL FC

(Away)
03 Oct
GOAL FC
2 : 0
Lyon - La Duchere
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
GOAL FC
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
05 Sept
Bourges 18
0 : 0
GOAL FC
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Star 34 19 8 7 55:34 65
2 Martigues 34 17 8 9 44:29 59
3 Niort 34 17 7 10 58:42 58
4 Dijon 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
5 Le Mans 34 14 10 10 49:44 52
6 Nancy 34 14 9 11 51:46 50
7 Rouen 34 15 9 10 41:37 49
8 Sochaux 34 12 12 10 51:44 48
9 Versailles 34 12 11 11 41:33 47
10 Orleans 34 11 11 12 36:37 44
11 Nimes 34 11 11 12 36:43 44
12 Chateauroux 34 10 12 12 41:44 42
13 Villefranche 34 10 11 13 36:43 41
14 GOAL FC 34 10 8 16 43:47 38
15 Avranches 34 11 5 18 37:59 38
16 Marignane GCB 34 9 10 15 37:50 37
17 Epinal 34 9 6 19 39:51 33
18 Cholet 34 9 5 20 34:55 32
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)