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Cholet vs Niort

France France

National 2023/2024 Stade Pierre Blouen, Cholet
Cholet Logo

Cholet

1 - 1
FT
Niort Logo

Niort

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Tormin T.
Assist: Renel S.
26'
Jarju Y.
44' Event
Santini J.
Assist: Renaud T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cholet
25%
Draws
35%
Niort
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Cholet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Cholet have won more games recently than Niort.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cholet taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cholet Clean Sheet 20%
Niort Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cholet Niort
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 7 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 18 1
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2024 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Niort
1:1
Sep 8, 2023 Ligue 3
Niort vs Cholet
2:0
Aug 11, 2020 Club Friendly
Niort vs Cholet
0:0
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Niort vs Cholet
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cholet Compare

Top Goalscorer Santini J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Niort Compare

Top Goalscorer Tormin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cholet 36 / 100
Niort 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cholet Niort

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niort's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

Cholet scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cholet went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Niort
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cholet

(Home)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
Page 1 of 6

Niort

(Away)
16 Nov
Niort
0 : 3
Orleans
16 Feb
Cholet
1 : 1
Niort

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Star 34 19 8 7 55:34 65
2 Martigues 34 17 8 9 44:29 59
3 Niort 34 17 7 10 58:42 58
4 Dijon 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
5 Le Mans 34 14 10 10 49:44 52
6 Nancy 34 14 9 11 51:46 50
7 Rouen 34 15 9 10 41:37 49
8 Sochaux 34 12 12 10 51:44 48
9 Versailles 34 12 11 11 41:33 47
10 Orleans 34 11 11 12 36:37 44
11 Nimes 34 11 11 12 36:43 44
12 Chateauroux 34 10 12 12 41:44 42
13 Villefranche 34 10 11 13 36:43 41
14 GOAL FC 34 10 8 16 43:47 38
15 Avranches 34 11 5 18 37:59 38
16 Marignane GCB 34 9 10 15 37:50 37
17 Epinal 34 9 6 19 39:51 33
18 Cholet 34 9 5 20 34:55 32
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)