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Cholet vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cholet play Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant in the Club Friendly 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cholet averaged 1 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Cholet won 2, Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 4, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Cholet and 1.11 for Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant. This points to a Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cholet
15%
Draws
44%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cholet picked up more points recently compared to Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Cholet Clean Sheet 21%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cholet Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Cholet vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
1:0
Jul 25, 2021 Club Friendly
Cholet vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0:1
Jan 14, 2017 National 2 - Group A
Cholet vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2:0
Aug 20, 2016 National 2 - Group A
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant vs Cholet
3:0
Mar 19, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant vs Cholet
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cholet Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdeldjelil O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cholet 41 / 100
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cholet Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cholet attacking → ← attacking Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cholet scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cholet went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50