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Stadium Background

Chonburi vs Kanchanaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Wattayuchutikul S.
46'
Sub
Wattayuchutikul S. In: Notchaiya P.
Out: Wattayuchutikul S.
46'
Sub
Aguero S. In: Ratniyorm S.
Out: Aguero S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Chonburi
30%
Draws
12%
Kanchanaburi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chonburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Kanchanaburi haven't matched Chonburi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chonburi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 17%
Kanchanaburi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Kanchanaburi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Thai League 1
Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi
2:2
Dec 12, 2025 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Kanchanaburi
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Thai League 2
Chonburi vs Kanchanaburi
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Thai League 2
Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chonburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolingi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kanchanaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ewerton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 75 / 100
Kanchanaburi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Kanchanaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chonburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chonburi scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Kanchanaburi let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Chonburi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Kanchanaburi
2 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
18 Apr
Prachuap
2 : 0
Chonburi
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4
Port MTI FC
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Kanchanaburi

(Away)
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
26 Apr
Kanchanaburi
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
04 Apr
Kanchanaburi
0 : 2
Pathum United
21 Mar
Rayong FC
2 : 1
Kanchanaburi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)