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Chonburi vs Pattaya City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Thai FA Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Pattaya City have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Chonburi have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.5. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.19) point toward Chonburi. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chonburi
15%
Draws
85%
Pattaya City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pattaya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chonburi come out ahead of Pattaya City on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Chonburi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 20%
Pattaya City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Pattaya City
Matches Played 28 3
Wins 11 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.5 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 36 / 100
Pattaya City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Pattaya City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pattaya City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chonburi scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Pattaya City has conceded goals in 67% of their last 3 outings.

Away concern: Pattaya City has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Pattaya City
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
17 Oct
Chonburi
1 : 2
Prachuap
11 Oct
Sisaket United
2 : 1
Chonburi
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
Page 1 of 6

Pattaya City

(Away)
21 Dec
Uttaradit FC
1 : 0
Pattaya City
29 Oct
Pattaya City
1 : 0
Chiangmai FC
20 Jul
Pattaya City
1 : 2
Visakha

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Romklao United -
Sukhothai -
Dome -
Sisaket United -
Nakhon Phanom United -
Marines FC -
Phetchabun -
Banbueng -
See Khwae City -
Udon Banjan United -
Udon United -
Lopburi City -
Buriram United F.C. -
DPU Thayang FC -
Thap Luang United -
Rayong FC -
Huasamrong -
Mahasarakham -
Yala -
Samut Sakhon City -
Ayutthaya United -
Muang Thong Utd -
Chumphon United -
Songkhla -
Rasisalai United -
Port MTI FC -
Kasetsart -
Chanthaburi -
Phetchaburi -
Lopburi FC -
Surindra FC -
Phichit United -
Suphanburi FC -
Lamphun Warrior -
Burapha United -
Chiangrai Utd -
Old Blood -
Bangkok Utd -
Police Tero -
Surin City -
Uthai Thani -
Nakhon Pathom -
Bangkapi -
PTS -
Khonkaen United -
Pathum United -
Phitsanulok -
Royal Thai Fleet FC -
Pattaya United -
Narathiwat FC -
Muangnont -
Samui United -
Kasem Bundit -
Customs Utd -
Prachuap -
Nonthaburi United -
Bangkok FC -
Nong Bua Pitchaya -
Chonburi -
Pattaya City -
Warin Chamrap -
Karin United -
Ratchaburi -
Pattani -
1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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