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Chonburi vs Uthai Thani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chonburi host Uthai Thani in the Thai League 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Chonburi have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Uthai Thani's 1.54 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Uthai Thani slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 2.00) back Uthai Thani to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Chonburi
15%
Draws
65%
Uthai Thani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Chonburi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uthai Thani a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 10%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Uthai Thani
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Uthai Thani
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chonburi
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chonburi
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Uthai Thani
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 10 / 100
Uthai Thani 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Uthai Thani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uthai Thani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chonburi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Uthai Thani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Chonburi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Uthai Thani
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
24 Oct
Ratchaburi
1 : 2
Chonburi
20 Oct
Chonburi
2 : 5
Pattaya City
17 Oct
Chonburi
1 : 2
Prachuap
11 Oct
Sisaket United
2 : 1
Chonburi
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Uthai Thani

(Away)
20 Oct
Uthai Thani
2 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Oct
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Uthai Thani
10 Oct
Uthai Thani
4 : 2
Rasisalai United
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port MTI FC 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
2 Buriram United F.C. 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
3 Prachuap 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Ratchaburi 6 3 1 2 12:6 10
5 Uthai Thani 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6 Sisaket United 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
7 Pathum United 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
8 Bangkok Utd 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
9 Rayong FC 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
10 Ayutthaya United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Sukhothai 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
12 Lamphun Warrior 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
13 Chiangrai Utd 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
14 Pattani 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
15 Chonburi 6 1 0 5 6:10 3
16 Rasisalai United 5 0 1 4 7:15 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)