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Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Henan Songshan Longmen Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

Super League Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
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Match Events

28'
Zhang Yingkai
29'
Amadou I.
31'
Sub
Amadou I. In: Wu Yongqiang
Out: Amadou I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
35%
Draws
43%
Henan Songshan Longmen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Henan Songshan Longmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Henan Songshan Longmen average 1.24 goals a game right now, well clear of Chongqing Tonglianglong's 1.07.
  • Model gives Chongqing Tonglianglong a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 20%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chongqing Tonglianglong Henan Songshan Longmen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
1:1
May 5, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:1
May 21, 2025 FA Cup
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Wu Yongqiang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Henan Songshan Longmen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chongqing Tonglianglong 36 / 100
Henan Songshan Longmen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chongqing Tonglianglong Henan Songshan Longmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chongqing Tonglianglong found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Henan Songshan Longmen conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Chongqing Tonglianglong went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chongqing Tonglianglong VS Henan Songshan Longmen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Home)
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Page 1 of 6

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Away)
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)