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Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Shenhua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
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Match Events

8' Event
Asue L.
Assist: Gao Tianyi
11' Event
Wu Xi
Assist: Gao Tianyi
19'
Yang Zexiang

AI Match Summary

Shanghai Shenhua in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shanghai Shenhua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
20%
Draws
65%
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong haven't matched Shanghai Shenhua's recent run of results.
  • Shanghai Shenhua are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shanghai Shenhua have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 12%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chongqing Tonglianglong Shanghai Shenhua
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.07 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:3
May 9, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
2:2
Aug 30, 2023 FA Cup
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngadeu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Asue L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wu Xi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chongqing Tonglianglong 10 / 100
Shanghai Shenhua 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chongqing Tonglianglong Shanghai Shenhua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Shenhua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Shenhua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Chongqing Tonglianglong scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Chongqing Tonglianglong remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chongqing Tonglianglong VS Shanghai Shenhua
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Home)
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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Shanghai Shenhua

(Away)
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
17 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1
Tampines
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
01 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)