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Chorley vs Accrington

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Caton C.
59' Event
Caton C.
84' Event
Woods J.

AI Match Summary

Accrington in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Accrington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Chorley
30%
Draws
29%
Accrington
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chorley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chorley have won more games recently than Accrington.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Chorley Clean Sheet 15%
Accrington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chorley Accrington
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.04 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Chorley vs Accrington
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chorley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Accrington Compare

Top Goalscorer Caton C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Woods J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chorley 31 / 100
Accrington 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chorley Accrington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chorley scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Accrington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Chorley remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chorley VS Accrington
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0
Chorley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2
Brackley
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Accrington

(Away)
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0
Newport
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1
Accrington
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2
Crawley Town
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2
Grimsby
29 Aug
Walsall
3 : 2
Accrington
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