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Chorley vs Accrington

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Caton C.
59' Event
Caton C.
84' Event
Woods J.

AI Match Summary

Accrington in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Accrington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chorley
17%
Draws
70%
Accrington
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Accrington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Accrington have won more games recently than Chorley.
  • Accrington are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Chorley Clean Sheet 23%
Accrington Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chorley Accrington
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chorley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Accrington Compare

Top Goalscorer Caton C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Woods J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chorley 16 / 100
Accrington 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chorley Accrington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Accrington has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Chorley's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Chorley remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Accrington has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chorley VS Accrington
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)
28 Jul
Trafford
2 : 1
Chorley
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
21 Jul
Chorley
0 : 0
Altrincham
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Jul
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Chorley
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Accrington

(Away)
28 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bury FC
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bradford City
11 Jul
Accrington
0 : 0
Blackburn
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0
Accrington
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