Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Taylor M.
20'
20'
Whelan T.
25'
25'
Bird S.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Chorley and AFC Fylde finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chorley.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- AFC Fylde carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chorley Clean Sheet 13%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chorley | AFC Fylde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs AFC Fylde
2:0
Dec 26, 2025 National League North
AFC Fylde vs Chorley
1:0
Jan 1, 2023 National League North
Chorley vs AFC Fylde
0:1
Dec 26, 2022 National League North
AFC Fylde vs Chorley
1:2
Jan 25, 2022 National League North
Chorley vs AFC Fylde
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chorley Compare
Top Goalscorer Bird S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ellis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
AFC Fylde Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chorley 31 / 100
AFC Fylde 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chorley AFC Fylde
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chorley scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: AFC Fylde conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: AFC Fylde registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chorley VS AFC Fylde
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chorley
(Home) 28 Jul
Trafford
2 : 1 Chorley
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3 Accrington
21 Jul
Chorley
0 : 0 Altrincham
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2 Bury FC
04 Jul
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0 Chorley
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3 Accrington
21 Jul
Chorley
0 : 0 Altrincham
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2 Bury FC
25 Apr
Chorley
2 : 1 Worksop
11 Apr
Chorley
0 : 1 Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 3
AFC Fylde
(Away) 01 Aug
Warrington Rylands
2 : 0 AFC Fylde
28 Jul
Morecambe
1 : 1 AFC Fylde
25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3 Wigan
21 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 3 AFC Fylde
18 Jul
AFC Fylde
1 : 2 Huddersfield
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Warrington Rylands
2 : 0 AFC Fylde
28 Jul
Morecambe
1 : 1 AFC Fylde
21 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 3 AFC Fylde
14 Jul
Hyde
1 : 3 AFC Fylde
25 Apr
Merthyr Town
2 : 4 AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
