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Chorley vs Bolton U21

World World

Club Friendly 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Woolery K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2015 game between Chorley and Bolton U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolton U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Chorley
20%
Draws
52%
Bolton U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Bolton U21's 1.66 goals per match outpaces what Chorley have produced (1.16).
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Bolton U21 taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%
Bolton U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chorley Bolton U21
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.16 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2015 Club Friendly
Chorley vs Bolton U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chorley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bolton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Woolery K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chorley 10 / 100
Bolton U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chorley Bolton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chorley scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Bolton U21 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Chorley remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chorley VS Bolton U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.29
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0
Chorley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2
Brackley
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Bolton U21

(Away)
15 Sept
Millwall U21
0 : 3
Bolton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1
Southampton U21
31 Aug
Bolton U21
3 : 1
Coventry U21
25 Aug
Bolton U21
7 : 0
Colchester U21
18 Aug
Charlton U21
0 : 1
Bolton U21
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