Sport Picks
Chorley vs Darlington FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
7'
7'
Taylor E.
41'
41'
Clarke W.
43'
43'
Hazelhurst J.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Chorley and Darlington FC finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chorley.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chorley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Darlington FC's 1.32 goals per match outpaces what Chorley have produced (1.19).
- Model gives Chorley a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chorley Clean Sheet 16%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chorley | Darlington FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs Darlington FC
5:2
Jan 24, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs Darlington FC
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 National League North
Darlington FC vs Chorley
2:3
Mar 25, 2025 National League North
Darlington FC vs Chorley
1:1
Oct 22, 2024 National League North
Chorley vs Darlington FC
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chorley Compare
Top Goalscorer Hazelhurst J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Taylor E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Darlington FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rutledge A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chorley 84 / 100
Darlington FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chorley Darlington FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chorley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Chorley scored in 65% of their last 26 outings.
Darlington FC let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Chorley stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chorley VS Darlington FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chorley
(Home) 03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4 Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
22 Aug
Chorley
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2 Chester
Page 1 of 3
Darlington FC
(Away) 03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4 Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4 Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
31 Aug
Radcliffe
0 : 1 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
