Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Chorley host Hereford in the National League North. This one's hard to separate. Hereford have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Chorley have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.28. Head-to-head, Chorley have won 3 to Hereford's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 20, 2025, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.56) back Hereford to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hereford have won more games recently than Chorley.
- Chorley are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chorley | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chorley found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Hereford let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Chorley remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chorley
(Home)Hereford
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oxford City | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Hereford | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24:8 | 26 |
| 3 | South Shields | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Chester | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Buxton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26:23 | 23 |
| 7 | Bedford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 8 | Hednesford | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:20 | 21 |
| 9 | King’s Lynn | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | 21 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 11 | Chorley | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Worksop | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 13 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Spalding United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 15 | Marine | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:15 | 16 |
| 16 | Harborough | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | 16 |
| 17 | Telford | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | 16 |
| 18 | Brackley | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:26 | 16 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 20 | Merthyr Town | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 16:24 | 15 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 17:25 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12:27 | 7 |
