Sport Picks
Chorley vs South Shields
England
National League North 2025/2026 Victory Park, Chorley 
Match Events
12'
12'
Finch S.
16'
16'
Sampson J.
90'
90'
Calveley M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: South Shields
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
25%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to South Shields lately — more wins on the board than Chorley.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chorley Clean Sheet 13%
South Shields Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chorley | South Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League North
South Shields vs Chorley
2:1
Mar 10, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs South Shields
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Chorley
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 FA Cup
South Shields vs Chorley
4:1
Feb 15, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs South Shields
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chorley Compare
Top Goalscorer Sampson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
South Shields Compare
Top Goalscorer Finch S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chorley 30 / 100
South Shields 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chorley South Shields
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chorley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chorley scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
South Shields has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Chorley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chorley VS South Shields
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chorley
(Home) 12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
22 Aug
Chorley
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2 Chester
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
South Shields
(Away) 12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Spalding United
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
18 Aug
Morecambe
0 : 1 South Shields
08 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 South Shields
28 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 4 South Shields
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
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Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
