Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chorley vs Worksop

England England

National League North 2025/2026 Victory Park, Chorley
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Smith H.
45' Event
Wilson M.
55' Event
Whitham L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between Chorley and Worksop finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chorley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chorley
33%
Draws
40%
Worksop
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Worksop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Worksop come out ahead of Chorley on wins alone.
  • Worksop are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%
Worksop Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chorley Worksop
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs Worksop
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 National League North
Worksop vs Chorley
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 FA Trophy
Chorley vs Worksop
2:3
Mar 8, 2014 NPL Premier Division
Chorley vs Worksop
1:0
Oct 26, 2013 NPL Premier Division
Worksop vs Chorley
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chorley Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Worksop Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chorley 26 / 100
Worksop 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chorley Worksop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Chorley scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Worksop let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Chorley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chorley VS Worksop
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)
21 Jul
Chorley
0 : 0
Altrincham
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Jul
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Chorley
25 Apr
Chorley
2 : 1
Worksop
18 Apr
King’s Lynn
1 : 1
Chorley
Page 1 of 6

Worksop

(Away)
14 Jul
South Normanton Athletic
3 : 4
Worksop
11 Jul
Worksop
3 : 1
Ilkeston
04 Jul
Worksop
4 : 2
Hallam
25 Apr
Chorley
2 : 1
Worksop
18 Apr
Worksop
8 : 0
Peterborough Sports
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AFC Fylde4632410112:51100
2South Shields462811799:4395
3Kidderminster462512974:5187
4Macclesfield462471581:6879
5Buxton462271783:6173
6Scarborough Athletic4619161161:5273
7Chester4620131366:6473
8Merthyr Town462242095:8670
9Darlington FC462091778:6869
10Spennymoor4619111662:6968
11Telford4617141585:6565
12Marine461882062:7262
13Radcliffe461862276:8360
14Southport4616121864:7160
15Chorley4615121966:6557
16Worksop461692166:7457
17Oxford City4615112062:6756
18Bedford4613141966:7753
19King’s Lynn4612161856:6452
20Hereford4614102264:7952
21Curzon Ashton4613132067:8852
22Alfreton4612142049:8250
23Peterborough Sports461092751:9639
24Leamington46783141:9029
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)