Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Smith H.
45'
45'
Wilson M.
55'
55'
Whitham L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Chorley and Worksop finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chorley.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Worksop come out ahead of Chorley on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Chorley Clean Sheet 20%
Worksop Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chorley | Worksop |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs Worksop
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 National League North
Worksop vs Chorley
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 FA Trophy
Chorley vs Worksop
2:3
Mar 8, 2014 NPL Premier Division
Chorley vs Worksop
1:0
Oct 26, 2013 NPL Premier Division
Worksop vs Chorley
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chorley Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wilson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Worksop Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chorley 32 / 100
Worksop 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chorley Worksop
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Worksop Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Chorley scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Worksop let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Chorley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chorley VS Worksop
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chorley
(Home) 19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
22 Aug
Chorley
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2 Chester
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
Worksop
(Away) 19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2 Worksop
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2 Bedford
05 Sept
Marine
0 : 1 Worksop
31 Aug
Worksop
0 : 1 Oxford City
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2 Worksop
05 Sept
Marine
0 : 1 Worksop
29 Aug
Spalding United
3 : 1 Worksop
18 Aug
Hebburn Town
1 : 0 Worksop
08 Aug
Darlington FC
1 : 2 Worksop
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
