Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chotebor vs Velka Bites

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chotebor in this 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chotebor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chotebor
44%
Draws
20%
Velka Bites
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Velka Bites lately — more wins on the board than Chotebor.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chotebor Clean Sheet 14%
Velka Bites Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chotebor Velka Bites
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Chotebor vs Velka Bites
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Velka Bites vs Chotebor
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chotebor 35 / 100
Velka Bites 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chotebor Velka Bites

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Chotebor's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Velka Bites let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Chotebor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chotebor VS Velka Bites
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chotebor

(Home)
13 Jun
Sparta Brno
2 : 1
Chotebor
06 Jun
Chotebor
1 : 2
Pelhrimov
30 May
Chotebor
1 : 0
FC Kurim
24 May
Znojmo
3 : 1
Chotebor
17 May
Chotebor
3 : 1
Velka Bites
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Velka Bites

(Away)
13 Jun
Humpolec
3 : 2
Velka Bites
07 Jun
Velka Bites
2 : 0
Zdirec nad Doubravou
31 May
Zdar nad Sazavou
1 : 3
Velka Bites
23 May
Velka Bites
2 : 1
Sparta Brno
17 May
Chotebor
3 : 1
Velka Bites
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