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Chotebor vs Velke Mezirici

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chotebor in this 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chotebor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chotebor
39%
Draws
30%
Velke Mezirici
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Velke Mezirici lately — more wins on the board than Chotebor.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Chotebor have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chotebor Clean Sheet 11%
Velke Mezirici Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chotebor Velke Mezirici
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 MOL Cup
Chotebor vs Velke Mezirici
2:0
May 1, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Chotebor vs Velke Mezirici
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Velke Mezirici vs Chotebor
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chotebor 30 / 100
Velke Mezirici 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chotebor Velke Mezirici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velke Mezirici has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Chotebor's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Chotebor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chotebor VS Velke Mezirici
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chotebor

(Home)
26 Jul
Chotebor
2 : 0
Velke Mezirici
13 Jun
Sparta Brno
2 : 1
Chotebor
06 Jun
Chotebor
1 : 2
Pelhrimov
30 May
Chotebor
1 : 0
FC Kurim
24 May
Znojmo
3 : 1
Chotebor
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Velke Mezirici

(Away)
26 Jul
Chotebor
2 : 0
Velke Mezirici
13 Jun
FS Trebic
3 : 1
Velke Mezirici
05 Jun
Velke Mezirici
2 : 1
Bohunice
30 May
Humpolec
1 : 2
Velke Mezirici
24 May
Velke Mezirici
5 : 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou
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