Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chuac Lun vs Sporting Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Macau in this Elite League 2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chuac Lun
15%
Draws
85%
Sporting Macau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Macau have won more games recently than Chuac Lun.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sporting Macau here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Chuac Lun Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuac Lun Sporting Macau
Matches Played 30 48
Wins 3 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 29
Goals Scored 0.63 1.42
Goals Conceded 3.9 3.23
Expected Goals (xG) 3.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2016 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Sporting Macau
0:2
Mar 12, 2016 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Chuac Lun
6:0
May 2, 2015 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Chuac Lun
3:1
Jan 31, 2015 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Sporting Macau
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuac Lun 36 / 100
Sporting Macau 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuac Lun Sporting Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Macau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Macau conceded in 88% of 48 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Sporting Macau lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chuac Lun scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting Macau
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 4.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuac Lun

(Home)
10 Jun
Chuac Lun
1 : 5
Lai Chi
27 May
Chuac Lun
0 : 2
Sporting Macau
19 May
Kei Lun
3 : 1
Chuac Lun
07 May
Chuac Lun
1 : 7
Monte Carlo
29 Apr
Policia
3 : 0
Chuac Lun
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Macau

(Away)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 17 1 0 78:4 52
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 13 2 3 46:12 41
3 Sporting Macau 18 11 4 3 50:15 37
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 79:19 35
5 Must IPO 18 10 3 5 42:17 33
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 39:46 19
7 Policia 18 3 3 12 17:57 12
8 Kei Lun 18 3 3 12 16:59 12
9 Casa de Portugal 18 2 4 12 19:92 10
10 Chuac Lun 18 0 4 14 10:75 4
Promotion - AFC Cup 2017 (Qualification)