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Stadium Background

Chuncheon vs Dangjin Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Ryu Y.

AI Match Summary

Dangjin Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dangjin Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chuncheon
15%
Draws
40%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen have won more games recently than Chuncheon.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Chuncheon here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 10%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuncheon Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Chuncheon
3:4
Apr 19, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Dangjin Citizen
0:1
Nov 13, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Chuncheon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chuncheon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryu Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuncheon 34 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuncheon Dangjin Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dangjin Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Chuncheon scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Dangjin Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Chuncheon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chuncheon VS Dangjin Citizen
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuncheon

(Home)
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
Page 1 of 6

Dangjin Citizen

(Away)
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3
Dangjin Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1
Dangjin Citizen
25 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
6 : 1
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 21 15 4 2 32:18 49
2 Pocheon 21 12 6 3 36:19 42
3 Daejeon Korail 21 11 5 5 31:16 38
4 Busan Kyotong 21 10 7 4 36:21 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 21 8 4 9 39:33 28
6 Gangneung 21 7 6 8 20:29 27
7 Chuncheon 21 7 5 9 37:34 26
8 Gyeongju KHNP 20 6 8 6 29:28 26
9 Changwon 20 6 8 6 22:22 26
10 Ulsan Citizen 21 7 4 10 22:24 25
11 Yeoju Citizen 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
12 Mokpo 21 3 9 9 16:34 18
13 Yangpyeong 21 3 8 10 27:41 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 21 1 7 13 21:46 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)