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Stadium Background

Chuncheon vs Dangjin Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Moon Ki-Han

AI Match Summary

Dangjin Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dangjin Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chuncheon
6%
Draws
90%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen have won more games recently than Chuncheon.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dangjin Citizen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 10%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuncheon Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Dangjin Citizen
0:1
Nov 13, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Chuncheon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chuncheon Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Moon Ki-Han
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuncheon 10 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuncheon Dangjin Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chuncheon scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Dangjin Citizen conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chuncheon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chuncheon VS Dangjin Citizen
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409