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Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lucas Oliveira
52' Event
Yun D.
90' Event
Kim M.

AI Match Summary

Chuncheon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chuncheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chuncheon
20%
Draws
51%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulsan Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Chuncheon.
  • Model gives Ulsan Citizen a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 12%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuncheon Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Oliveira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Yun D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuncheon 11 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuncheon Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chuncheon scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Ulsan Citizen has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chuncheon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chuncheon VS Ulsan Citizen
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuncheon

(Home)
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
04 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Chuncheon
27 Jun
Chuncheon
3 : 3
Yangpyeong
20 Jun
Chuncheon
2 : 3
Siheung Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Ulsan Citizen

(Away)
14 Aug
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Ulsan Citizen
29 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
15 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 2
Seoul E-Land
10 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 18 12 4 2 24:15 40
2 Pocheon 18 10 6 2 31:16 36
3 Busan Kyotong 18 9 6 3 30:15 33
4 Daejeon Korail 18 9 5 4 28:13 32
5 Dangjin Citizen 19 8 4 7 35:27 28
6 Changwon 18 6 8 4 19:17 26
7 Gyeongju KHNP 18 5 7 6 24:24 22
8 Yeoju Citizen 18 5 7 6 21:23 22
9 Chuncheon 18 5 5 8 32:30 20
10 Gangneung 18 5 5 8 16:27 20
11 Ulsan Citizen 18 5 4 9 18:21 19
12 Yangpyeong 18 3 7 8 22:33 16
13 Mokpo 18 2 9 7 15:31 15
14 Jeonbuk 2 19 1 7 11 20:43 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)