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Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lucas Oliveira
52' Event
Yun D.
90' Event
Kim M.

AI Match Summary

Chuncheon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chuncheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chuncheon
15%
Draws
40%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulsan Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Chuncheon.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 20%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuncheon Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Oliveira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Yun D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuncheon 31 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuncheon Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chuncheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chuncheon scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ulsan Citizen has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chuncheon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chuncheon VS Ulsan Citizen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuncheon

(Home)
03 Oct
Pocheon
0 : 0
Chuncheon
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
Page 1 of 6

Ulsan Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)