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Churchill Brothers vs AIFF XI

India India

I-League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Churchill Brothers play AIFF XI in the I-League 2012/2013. Churchill Brothers are favorites here. Recently, Churchill Brothers averaged 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. AIFF XI averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Churchill Brothers won 4, AIFF XI won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 9, 2013 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Churchill Brothers and 0.81 for AIFF XI. This points to a Churchill Brothers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Churchill Brothers
20%
Draws
24%
AIFF XI
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Churchill Brothers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Churchill Brothers picked up more points recently compared to AIFF XI.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Churchill Brothers Clean Sheet 26%
AIFF XI Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churchill Brothers AIFF XI
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2013 I-League
Churchill Brothers vs AIFF XI
3:1
Dec 10, 2012 I-League
AIFF XI vs Churchill Brothers
0:3
May 6, 2012 I-League
Churchill Brothers vs AIFF XI
3:2
Apr 19, 2012 I-League
AIFF XI vs Churchill Brothers
0:0
Mar 2, 2011 I-League
AIFF XI vs Churchill Brothers
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churchill Brothers 56 / 100
AIFF XI 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churchill Brothers AIFF XI

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Churchill Brothers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Churchill Brothers & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Churchill Brothers attacking → ← attacking AIFF XI

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Churchill Brothers scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

AIFF XI let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Churchill Brothers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AIFF XI lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 29
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Churchill Brothers26167356:2255
2Pune26164653:2652
3East Bengal26138544:1847
4United SC26135855:3544
5Dempo26117845:3340
6SC Goa2698936:4135
7Salgaocar SC26961134:2933
8Mumbai26881036:4232
9ONGC26710930:4031
10Mohun Bagan26118740:3429
11Lajong266101026:4028
12AIFF XI26651525:4523
13Air India26471528:6319
14United Sikkim26291523:6315