Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Churriana de la Vega

1 - 4

Huetor Vega

Our Tip

Match Events

Diaz Castillo J.

20'

Miguel

71'

Diaz Castillo J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Huetor Vega in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Huetor Vega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Churriana de la Vega

39%

Draws

30%

Huetor Vega

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Churriana de la Vega have won more games recently than Huetor Vega.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 14%

Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Churriana de la Vega	Huetor Vega
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	11	10
Draws	11	8
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Churriana de la Vega vs Huetor Vega

Possession: 52% - 60% Cards: 4 - 3

1:4

Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Huetor Vega vs Churriana de la Vega

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Huetor Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz Castillo J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Miguel

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churriana de la Vega 31 / 100

Huetor Vega 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Churriana de la Vega Huetor Vega

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Vega has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Churriana de la Vega's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Churriana de la Vega stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Churriana de la Vega VS Huetor Vega

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	19	9	6	46:24	66
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55:29	65
3	Torre del Mar	34	14	13	7	37:26	55
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38:29	54
5	Churriana de la Vega	34	14	10	10	32:40	52
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36:28	51
7	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	13	11	10	39:38	50
8	UD San Pedro	34	13	10	11	39:37	49
9	Atletico de Porcuna	34	14	4	16	41:39	46
10	Huetor Vega	34	12	9	13	43:42	45
11	Granada CF B	34	10	14	10	49:47	44
12	CD Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41:41	43
13	Melilla B	34	9	12	13	30:32	39
14	Mancha	34	9	10	15	30:38	37
15	Huetor Tajar	34	9	10	15	40:44	37
16	Martos	34	9	10	15	32:48	37
17	CD Torreperogil	34	9	6	19	24:45	33
18	El Palo	34	6	9	19	28:53	27