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Churriana de la Vega vs Torre del Mar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Rodriguez J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Torre del Mar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torre del Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Churriana de la Vega
33%
Draws
27%
Torre del Mar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Churriana de la Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Torre del Mar have won more games recently than Churriana de la Vega.
  • Win probability leans Churriana de la Vega's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 68%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churriana de la Vega Torre del Mar
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs Torre del Mar
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Churriana de la Vega
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churriana de la Vega 50 / 100
Torre del Mar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churriana de la Vega Torre del Mar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Churriana de la Vega scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Churriana de la Vega stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Torre del Mar's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Churriana de la Vega VS Torre del Mar
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327