Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Churriana de la Vega vs UD San Pedro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Gallego Campos J. M.
58' Event
Cabrera M.
77' Event
Guichard S.

AI Match Summary

UD San Pedro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD San Pedro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Churriana de la Vega
15%
Draws
42%
UD San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Churriana de la Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • UD San Pedro have won more games recently than Churriana de la Vega.
  • Win probability leans Churriana de la Vega's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and UD San Pedro have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 68%
UD San Pedro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churriana de la Vega UD San Pedro
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs UD San Pedro
1:3
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs UD San Pedro
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Churriana de la Vega
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Guichard S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

UD San Pedro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallego Campos J. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churriana de la Vega 59 / 100
UD San Pedro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churriana de la Vega UD San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Churriana de la Vega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Churriana de la Vega's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UD San Pedro let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

UD San Pedro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Churriana de la Vega VS UD San Pedro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Churriana de la Vega

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3
Churriana de la Vega
27 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 3
UD San Pedro
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 6

UD San Pedro

(Away)
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3
Motril
27 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 3
UD San Pedro
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Almeria B
13 Sept
Granada CF B
4 : 0
UD San Pedro
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Almeria B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Marbelli 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
4 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
6 Malaga B 6 3 1 2 12:6 10
7 Granada CF B 6 3 1 2 9:5 10
8 Churriana de la Vega 6 3 0 3 12:9 9
9 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
10 Torre del Mar 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
11 CD Alhaurino 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
13 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
15 Atletico de Marbella 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
17 Mancha 6 0 2 4 3:10 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)