Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chwaszczyno vs Elana Torun

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2017/2018
Sat, Nov 18, 2017
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chwaszczyno play Elana Torun in the III Liga - Group II 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chwaszczyno averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. Elana Torun averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Chwaszczyno won 0, Elana Torun won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 18, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Chwaszczyno and 1.49 for Elana Torun. This points to a Chwaszczyno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Chwaszczyno
35%
Draws
30%
Elana Torun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chwaszczyno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Chwaszczyno picked up more points recently compared to Elana Torun.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Chwaszczyno Clean Sheet 16%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chwaszczyno Elana Torun
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.62 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Chwaszczyno vs Elana Torun
0:0
Jun 15, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Chwaszczyno vs Elana Torun
1:1
Nov 19, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Chwaszczyno
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chwaszczyno 35 / 100
Elana Torun 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chwaszczyno Elana Torun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chwaszczyno or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chwaszczyno attacking → ← attacking Elana Torun

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chwaszczyno scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

Elana Torun let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Chwaszczyno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Elana Torun lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Elana Torun34245571:2477
2Swit Szczecin34234770:2773
3B. Gdynia34223974:3669
4Lech Poznan II34206869:3466
5KKS Kalisz34196952:3363
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34179863:4160
7Kleczew34178952:3259
8Kotwica Kolobrzeg341761148:3757
9Starogard Gdanski341561346:3251
10Pogon Szczecin II341471344:5449
11Jarocin341191445:5042
12KS Wierzyca Pelplin341261638:4742
13Wda Swiecie341051952:7235
14Gornik Konin34971840:6134
15Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski34952038:6732
16Przodkowo34742338:7525
17Unia Solec Kujawski34472333:8019
18Gryfino3425279:8011